Biographies Characteristics Analysis

Geomagnetic forecast for 15 days. Where can you see the aurora now? Impact on spacecraft

Magnetic storms have a huge impact on human health. To keep abreast of the current state of the magnetosphere, we present a graph for you - magnetic storms today, as well as a forecast of magnetic storms for a week, month and year.

Forecast of magnetic storms for the next week.

Magnetic storms in March 2019- Forecast of magnetic storms for the next month.

Schedule of magnetic storms in March 2019

Magnetic storms today

Magnetic storms today

Levels of magnetic storms and solar flares

solar activity during the month and today

Magnetic storms today and forecast of magnetic storms for the next 3 days in March 2019

Forecast of magnetic storms for the next 3 days

Interpretation of index K

K5 - weak magnetic storm

K6 - medium magnetic storm

K7 - strong magnetic storm

K8 - very strong magnetic storm

K9 is an extremely strong magnetic storm.

Magnetic storms online monitoring

For a more accurate forecast, online monitoring of magnetic storms is currently carried out on the basis of data coming from various monitoring systems for magnetic storms. GOES radiographs are used to track solar activity and solar flares that affect magnetic storms on Earth.

magnetic storms online monitoring (three-day chart)


Magnetic field disturbance level — Magnetic field components

Dependences of Schumann resonance frequencies in hertz on local time.
Dependences of variations of the magnetic field components on local time.
Local time is expressed in hours of Tomsk Daylight Saving Time (TLDV). TLDV=UTC+7hours.

Magnetic storms and solar wind— Change of magnetic storms from the sun towards the Earth

solar activity online

Solar wind and magnetic storms

One of the largest magnetic storms in 2019 takes place on Earth. This was reported on Tuesday on the website of the Laboratory of X-ray Solar Astronomy of the Physical Institute. P. N. Lebedev RAS (FIAN).

“On Earth, one of the largest magnetic storms of this year is observed,” the report says. According to scientists, the magnetic field fluctuations began on Monday around 20:00 Moscow time, then the storm reached the level of Kp=5 (out of nine possible), which corresponds to a weak magnetic storm. It was supposed to end before Tuesday morning, but by 08:00 it intensified to a medium-level magnetic storm, reaching Kp=6.

“The event, as it is generally typical for space weather, is of a planetary nature and is now observed by several world magnetic observatories located at different geographical coordinates. At the moment, the storm is the second strongest this year and is second only to the magnetic storm of August 26, when the Kp index reached level 7. Thus, with an interval of only 2 weeks, the Earth experienced two of the strongest cosmic impacts of this year,” astronomers note.

It is noted that the Earth is currently passing through a dense stream of solar wind with a complex structure. According to scientists, it will take at least 2-3 days to exit the stream.

How to make yourself feel better during magnetic storms?

It should not be processed, stress, intense physical exertion should be avoided. On the day when a magnetic storm occurs, pay attention to nutrition - it should be balanced, without fatty, smoked and spicy foods. Include fruits and vegetables, as well as vitamins in your diet.
During magnetic storms, it is advisable to give up bad habits, strict diets, and alcohol. Spend more time outdoors with your family.

In addition, if there is an opportunity to relax during the hours of a magnetic storm, it is better to sleep. During sleep, fluctuations affect the body less than during work.

Calendar of magnetic storms for 2019

January:
January 4-6 - weak magnetic storm;
January 14 - average fluctuations;
January 24 - a strong storm is expected;

February:
February 1-3 - magnetic storms of medium strength.
February 19-22 - magnetic storms of medium strength.

March:
March 1-2 - weak magnetic storm;
March 8-10 - magnetic storms of medium strength.
March 27-28 - magnetic storms of medium strength.

May:
May 9 – weak magnetic storm;
May 20 - average fluctuations;
May 2, 27 - Strong storms are expected.

August:
August 3.29 - weak storms;
24-26 - strong magnetic storms that will pass one after another.

Magnetic storms affects the well-being of people, the majority of the population of retirement age is dependent on solar flares, therefore, for your convenience, we also monitor such a parameter as .
Magnetic storms today are directly dependent on solar flares, therefore, for your convenience, we also monitor this parameter as well as on the basis of it a detailed forecast of geomagnetic storms is given.


Add this page to your bookmarks and to yourself in social networks - Information about magnetic storms is updated daily! Only here you will find out what kind of magnetic storm is today and whether there are magnetic storms today

A magnetic storm can be an unpleasant surprise for any person unprepared for it. Especially if sensitivity to magnetic storms or other atmospheric phenomena makes itself felt.

August 2016 is not the easiest month in this regard. Quiet July was replaced by a very eventful and risky time. Solar activity is not yet strong, but it is extremely unstable. That is why meteorologists warn of a possible magnetic storm on August 15 and 16.

What to expect from magnetic storms in August

Magnetic storms will only get stronger by the end of the month, and a real outbreak is very likely on the 20th. But the risk remains in mid-August. For those who have doctors ascertained a chronic disease, it is better to remember about medicines. At this time, electrical appliances may work intermittently (however, the storm is unlikely to reach such a force). Recovery will slow down, you may suddenly feel a headache, fatigue or drowsiness.

The best way to protect yourself from trouble is prevention. Get enough sleep on the 14th, 15th and 16th, do not abuse alcohol and cigarettes so as not to create an unnecessary load on the body. Meditative practices, self-massage, soothing infusions help. Do not watch TV at night and do not sit in front of the computer in the evenings.

Astrologers about the magnetic storm on August 15 and 16

Astrology also does not stand aside and warns: not only the Sun is now unstable. Saturn has come out of retrogression and is now in the catastrophe axis. And on August 18, a layering of a lunar eclipse and a Full Moon is expected. Fortunately, the eclipse will not be total, it will not be visible from anywhere in the world, which means that the shadow of this event will simply not fall on many. But still astrologers call for caution.

Do not forget to strengthen your well-being and energy. On Monday, such rituals are especially relevant, since the day may not be easy. Fortunately, the solar wind will not be too strong these days, so it is likely that there will be no strong geomagnetic disturbances at all.

To find out what this week will be like, look into horoscopes. We wish you well, and don't forget to press the buttons and

15.08.2016 01:51

Prolonged magnetic storms adversely affect the health of many people. Sensitivity to changes in atmospheric pressure and...

Weather-dependent people should play it safe in March: solar activity at the beginning of the month will be at its peak, and ...

The negative influence of the Sun can adversely affect the physical and mental state of people, as well as cause trouble. In this regard, we recommend that you learn about the most dangerous days of the coming month, and the schedule of magnetic storms for November will help you with this.

In autumn, our health suffers from the effects of climatic factors, and the harmful effects of the Sun can add to the problems. According to the forecast of magnetic storms, in November 2018 there will be a strong solar flare, in connection with which the fluctuation of the geomagnetic field will last for several days.

Our daylight never ceases to radiate billions of electron particles into the surrounding space. All of them are moving in different directions with incredible speed. Overcoming huge distances, part of this stream of charged particles reach the Earth's surface. They affect the magnetic shell of our planet and cause its change. That is, the indicators of the magnetic field are constantly changing. There are bursts and relatively calm periods. Phenomena, when the parameters of the Earth's magnetic shell exceed the boundary values, are called magnetic storms. During solar flares, magnetic disturbances reach their limit. This causes strong magnetic storms. They create health problems for most people.

Magnetic storms in November 2018 - daily schedule

According to forecasts of meteorologists and astrologers, November will be a rather difficult month due to the turbulent geomagnetic situation.

The strongest magnetic storms will fall on such days: November 5, 6, 9, 11, 14, 16, 18 and 22. At this time, ailments will be felt, and chronic diseases will get exacerbated.

Weak magnetic storms are expected November 3rd, 4th, 15th and 30th. These days, the mood will suffer the most.

On dangerous days, it is better to be on the alert so as not to harm your already suffering health and not ruin relationships with loved ones.

Magnetic storms in early December 2918

A two-day magnetic storm is expected in early December. It will start on December 1st and reach the G1 level on December 2nd. After its completion, until December 7, no magnetic storms are predicted. On December 7th and 8th, magnetic fluctuations are expected. After, until December 16, there will be a calm geomagnetic situation.

Impact of magnetic storms on health

So far, it has been found that only a small percentage of the population is sensitive to magnetic storms. 10% of the population feels problems with the cardiovascular system from magnetic storms. Those who have experienced severe injuries and fractures also suffer - these days, injuries make themselves felt.

However, according to as yet unconfirmed data, magnetic boogies also affect people who suffer from chronic diseases - they can experience exacerbations or feel very bad during magnetic storms.

Frequent symptoms:

  • high blood pressure
  • cardiac tachycardia
  • severe headaches
  • drowsiness, depression
  • aggressiveness, agitation
  • How to protect yourself during magnetic storms

Impressive people need to distinguish what they inspire themselves with real health problems. Doctors say that, in reality, every tenth suffers from fluctuations in the Earth's magnetic field. In order not to provoke the body, and not to get sick during magnetic storms, there are a few tips.

People who suffer from chronic and cardiovascular diseases are advised to read the forecasts and not plan travel, air travel and heavy work days with overloads during magnetic storms. It is worth observing the daily routine and not overloading the body physically and mentally.

For the rest, doctors advise not to plan important events and avoid stress - it is confirmed that excitability increases these days, so that conflicts may well turn into disasters.

It is worth refraining from taking alcohol and energy drinks, coffee and any stimulant drugs in order to avoid unforeseen consequences.

The weather will show how healthy you are

If you are suffering from magnetic storms, try to follow their forecast. When you are armed and aware of changing weather conditions, do not eat fried, spicy, salty foods at least for a few days - so as not to irritate the autonomic nervous system. Give preference to dairy products, cottage cheese, vegetables and fruits. A large amount of fat activates blood clotting. Whereas vitamin C, a high protein diet does the opposite. Eat regularly. Those who leave home without breakfast are candidates for weather dependence.

By the way, city dwellers are more weather sensitive. Therefore, walk more in the fresh air. Make time for physical activity. If you can’t swim, do gymnastics, just walk more often. When you give reasonable exercise, blood flow improves.

Truths and myths about magnetic storms

Ermolaev Yu.I., Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Head of Laboratory « Solar wind research » Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, in a scientific article « Magnetic storms: myths and facts » talks about one of the most common misconceptions about magnetic storms. Most people believe that solar flares lead to magnetic storms, but this is actually not the case.

In two cases out of three, a solar flare does not coincide with a magnetic storm. In addition, magnetic storms sometimes occur without any solar activity at all.

The myth that solar flares are associated with magnetic storms appeared back in 1859. At that time, Richard Carrington, an English astronomer, observed a flash on the sun, and soon a strong magnetic storm hit our planet.

However, Carrington did not know at the time that there was a solar wind between our planet and the sun. This physical phenomenon was discovered only in 1959.

Also, the scientist did not know then that the solar wind is disturbed not by a solar flare, but by a coronal mass ejection. - CME. This fact was discovered only in 1970, much later than Carrington's observations.

According to current data, a solar flare and coronal mass ejection (CME) - they are independent phenomena in the sun. They can occur both together and separately. Therefore, predictions of storms based on observations of solar flares often turn out to be false.

Magnetic storms on the sun can occur without any flash at all. Today it is known that the sources of sudden storms - coronal holes. Coronal holes occur when the magnetic field lines open in the region of the Sun's equator.

Normally, the magnetic field lines are closed and keep the matter of the sun within the star. When the lines open, violent plasma ejections occur, which provoke fast currents of the solar wind. Due to the fast solar wind, the strongest magnetic storms are played out.

Unfortunately, there are practically no references in the media to forecasts of magnetic storms based on observations of coronal holes. And in the specialized literature, such forecasts are relatively rare.

For July, experts predict that the Earth will be covered by several magnetic storms. Weather-dependent people will need to survive 3 days of weak and 1 day of strong magnetic storms.

Due to the constant burst on the Sun, fiery lava, charged particles spread throughout the system. Reaching the Earth, these particles affect our natural magnetic field, thereby causing a reaction in our body.

Depending on the density of these particles that have reached our planet, the magnetic field can be larger or smaller. Bursts of the magnetic field are magnetic storms that can occur every month.

Schedule of magnetic storms for July 2018

What days to expect magnetic storms in July 2018? Our article will give you the answer! To protect your body from the harmful effects of magnetic fields, be sure to look at the schedule of magnetic storms for July 2018.

Schedule of magnetic storms for July 2018. When will there be strong magnetic storms in July

Experts report that the strongest magnetic storms of 2018 are expected on July 15 and 18. These days you need to be especially attentive to your health. Doctors advise spending a lot of time outdoors, reducing physical activity, and reducing the number of tasks at work. If you have such an opportunity, it is better to take a day off. It is necessary to add foods high in vitamins to the diet, to exclude smoking and alcohol.

Magnetic storms today. Several peaks of cosmic "discontent" are expected in July

On July 7, 29, 30, scientists predict weak magnetic storms. They will not have a strong effect on your body, but if you feel unwell, it is better to consult a doctor.

According to experts, in general, this July, most likely, will not upset the inhabitants of planet Earth with frequent and strong magnetic storms. Particularly serious outbreaks on the Sun are not yet expected, and scientists warn us only about very minor geomagnetic fluctuations.

Throughout July 2018, solar activity will be at a minimum - a calm and favorable period for weather-dependent people. Starting from July 1 and until the end of the second decade, the strength of disturbances in the earth's magnetic field will fluctuate at the level of 0-2 points. The exceptions will be July 15 and 20 - magnetic storms up to 4 points are likely these days. But do not forget that sometimes solar flares are unpredictable and the geomagnetic situation can change in a matter of hours.

Magnetic storms, what to do. What effect do magnetic storms have on humans?

On hot summer days, it is especially difficult to endure magnetic storms. Sensitive people need to be careful. Experts recommend not to go out in the sun. It is better to take walks in the early morning and evening hours, when the activity of the sun subsides.

A few simple rules that will help you feel good and avoid health problems during a surge in magnetic activity:

144.76.78.3

Make sure you have the necessary medicines on hand in advance, especially if you suffer from any chronic diseases.

Walk more. Such walks saturate the blood with oxygen and help restore emotional balance.

Refrain from long trips. It is better to postpone the desired trip for a few days.

Avoid conflict situations. A favorable emotional state will help to cope with poor health.

Are there magnetic storms today? This graph of magnetic storms shows the average forecast values ​​of the global geomagnetic index Kp. The Kp-index characterizes the geomagnetic situation on a global scale. The forecast covers the geomagnetic situation for 3 days. Eight values ​​of the index are presented for each day - for every three hours (from midnight to 3 a.m., from three a.m. to six a.m., from six to nine a.m., from nine a.m. to noon, from noon to fifteen p.m., from 15 from 18:00 to 21:00, from 21:00 to midnight Moscow time). The full range of the Kr-index is from zero to nine units. Vertical bars in green indicate a relatively safe geomagnetic environment. Red bars appear at Kp-index values ​​of more than five points, which means a magnetic storm. The longer the red vertical bar, the more intense the geomagnetic situation. The level of the Kp-index, at which a significant impact of geomagnetic activity on people's well-being is possible (Kp=7), is marked with a horizontal red line.

There is the following gradation of Kp-index values: Kp=0-1 – calm geomagnetic situation; Kp=1-2 - geomagnetic activity ranging from calm to slightly disturbed; Kp=3-4 – geomagnetic situation from weakly disturbed to disturbed; Kp=5 – a weak five-magnitude magnetic storm – is considered the minimum level of the Kp-index, from which magnetic storms begin (G1 level); Kp=6 – average geomagnetic storm of G2 level; Kp=7 – strong magnetic storm of G3 level; Kp=8 - a very strong geomagnetic storm of G4 level (at Kp=8 auroras can be seen even in the tropical zone, there may be interruptions in satellite navigation, power outages, damage to energy systems, in particular transformers); Kp=9 – extremely strong magnetic storm, maximum possible index value (G5 level).

Magnetic storms have a huge impact on human health. To keep abreast of the current state of the magnetosphere, we present a graph for you - magnetic storms today, as well as a forecast of magnetic storms for a week, month and year.

Forecast of magnetic storms for a month.




Monthly schedule of magnetic storms

Levels of magnetic storms and solar flares


solar activity during the month and today

Calendar of magnetic storms for 2019

January:
January 4-6 - weak magnetic storm;
January 14 - average fluctuations;
January 24 - a strong storm is expected;

February:
February 1-3 - magnetic storms of medium strength.
February 19-22 - magnetic storms of medium strength.

May:
May 9 – weak magnetic storm;
May 20 - average fluctuations;
May 2, 27 - Strong storms are expected.

August:
August 3.29 - weak storms;
24-26 - strong magnetic storms that will pass one after another.

Magnetic storms affects the well-being of people, the majority of the population of retirement age is dependent on magnetic storms and solar flares, therefore, for your convenience, we also monitor such a parameter as magnetic storms today.
Magnetic storms today are directly dependent on solar flares, therefore, for your convenience, we also monitor such a parameter as solar activity and, based on it, a detailed forecast of geomagnetic storms is given.

MAGNETIC STORM SCALE

The force scale was introduced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in November 1999.

G5 level magnetic storms (extremely strong storms)

Possible destruction of power systems and damage to transformers

Extensive surface charge, problems with orientation, communication and tracking of spacecraft

Currents through pipelines reach hundreds of amperes, high-frequency communications are impossible in many areas for one or two days, accuracy of satellite navigation systems deteriorates, low-frequency radio navigation fails for several hours, auroras are visible all the way to the equator.

Storm frequency:

From 4 to 6 G5 level storms per 11-year cycle of solar activity (average 1 storm in 2-3 years).

Magnetic storms level G4 (very strong storms)

Impact on energy systems:

Possible problems with voltage stability, partial destruction of energy systems and shutdown of protective systems

Impact on spacecraft:

Surface charge and tracking and orientation problems, correction needed

Impact on ground systems:

Induced currents in pipelines require protective measures, sporadic transmission of HF radio waves, deterioration of satellite navigation for several hours, failure of low-frequency radio navigation, and auroras are visible to the tropics

Storm frequency:

About 100 G4 storms per 11-year cycle of solar activity (average 1 storm per 1.5-2 months; approximately 60 storm days per 11 years).

Corresponding index value Kp:

Magnetic storms level G3 (severe storms)

Impact on energy systems:

Voltage correction required, false trips of protection systems and high "gas in oil" in oil transformers

Impact on spacecraft:

Surface charge on the elements of space vehicles, increase in vehicle drift from orbit, orientation problems

Impact on ground systems:

Interruptions in satellite navigation and problems of low-frequency radio navigation, interruptions in HF radio communications, auroras are visible up to mid-latitudes.

Storm frequency:

Approximately 200 G3-level storms in an 11-year solar activity cycle (average 1 storm every 2-3 weeks; approximately 130 storm days in 11 years).

Corresponding index value Kp:

Magnetic storms level G2 (moderate storms)

Impact on energy systems:

Affect energy systems located at high latitudes

Impact on spacecraft:

Corrective action from control centers is needed; differences from the predicted orbital drift of spacecraft

Impact on ground systems:

Deterioration of HF radio wave propagation at high latitudes, auroras visible up to 50 degrees latitude

Storm frequency:

Approximately 600 G2-level storms over an 11-year solar activity cycle (average 1 storm per week; approximately 360 storm days over 11 years).

Corresponding index value Kp:

Magnetic storms level G1 (weak storms)

All of us have ever witnessed unreasonable poor health, both among children and the elderly, and among middle-aged people. Sometimes these are pressure surges, unreasonable headaches, the body's reaction to weather changes. Sometimes the cause of poor health lies in solar activity and magnetic storms.

Level of geomagnetic storms today

Geomagnetic disturbance of the Earth. Geomagnetic disturbance index and magnetic storms of the Sun (updating frequency 15 minutes.)

The intensification of the solar radiation flux and the arrival of solar coronal ejection waves cause strong fluctuations in the geomagnetic field - magnetic storms occur on Earth. The graph shows data from the GOES spacecraft, the level of disturbance of the geomagnetic field is calculated in real time.

The state of the magnetic field depending on the Kp index

Kp< 2 - спокойное;
K p = 2, 3 - weakly perturbed;
K p = 4 - perturbed;
K p = 5, 6 - magnetic storm;
K p = 7, 8 - strong magnetic storm;
K p = 9 - very strong geomagnetic storm.

A magnetic storm is a disturbance in the magnetic field of our planet. This natural phenomenon usually lasts from several hours to a day or more.

Extended geomagnetic forecast.

The extended geomagnetic forecast from SpaceWeather.Ru (a project of the Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences) allows you to estimate the likely amplitude of a geomagnetic storm over the next few hours and is updated every hour.

Detailed explanations of the terms and figures used are given below.

Extended Prediction Technique

The forecast of the maximum amplitude of the geomagnetic storm (negative maximum Dst) several hours before the maximum (red line), as well as the forecast of the Dst index for 2-4 hours (blue dots) are performed in real time using hourly average solar wind observations. The algorithm for predicting the maximum amplitude is based on the relationship between solar wind parameters at the beginning of a geomagnetic storm development and the storm strength at the saturation point (the steady-state solution of the differential equation for the evolution of the Dst index introduced by Barton et al. 1975).

If a sharp jump in solar wind parameters is recorded, then a suddenly developing strong storm (Dst<-100), для которой характерно быстрое насыщение. В этом случае в начале развития геомагнитной бури выполняется прогноз нижней и верхней границ максимума Dst (красная линия). Оценка нижней границы прогнозируемой силы бури является точкой насыщения бури и соответствует максимуму Dst. Верхняя граница прогнозируемого максимума оценивается на основе выбора промежуточной точки между состоянием в текущий момент времени и точкой насыщения на траектории насыщения бури.

Gradually developing geomagnetic storms are characterized by a longer saturation interval and usually do not reach the saturation point during their development. For this type of storm, the Dst index reaches its maximum at an intermediate point on the saturation trajectory, which is considered as a forecast of the storm strength (red line).

The estimate of the possible maximum of the storm is kept for some time even after the actual passage of the maximum until the sign of the end of the storm is developed. This is necessary for a correct forecast of a possible twin storm.

Severe storm false prediction probability (Dst<-100) не превышает 0,03 (на статистике 10 лет). С вероятностью 0.96 ошибка прогноза границ максимума Dst не превышает 25%. Время заблаговременного предупреждения о силе бури составляет в среднем 5-6 часов и варьируется от 1 до 22 часов. Вероятность ложного предсказания бури с -100-50 does not exceed 0.01. With a probability of 0.9, the error in predicting the boundaries of the Dst maximum does not exceed 25%.

Based on the differential equation for the evolution of Dst, the forecast of the Dst index is also performed on average for 2-3 hours, depending on the nature of the development of the storm, and in the recovery phase of the storm, which is characterized by a relatively monotonous change in the dynamics of Dst on average for 3-4 hours.

Dst, Kyoto values ​​for the last 24 hours are shown in the blue curve graph. The blue curve shows the reconstructed Dst value from the solar wind over the last 24 hours. Every six hours, the Dst value from Kyoto is used to restore Dst, if available.

In case of missing solar wind data, instead of the missing solar wind parameters, their values ​​for the previous hour are used. When missing Dst data, Kyoto, instead of the missing Dst value, either the restored Dst value or the Dst index for the previous hour is used. The rules for replacing the Dst index are detailed in the archive description. In this case, the degree of confidence in the forecast falls. This situation is displayed on the graph as a vertical red line at the moment of skipping. Hourly averaged observations of Bz (nT, GSM) over the last 24 hours are shown on the graph with a green line. The black line represents the hourly average observations of the solar wind plasma velocity (km/s) over the last 24 hours. The solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field data are shifted forward in time by an amount equal to the propagation time from the libration point to the Earth.

Criteria for evaluation:

  • Geomagnetic storms have a time-asymmetric nature of development: on average, the phase of disturbance growth (the main phase of the storm) is about 7 hours, and the phase of return to the initial state (recovery phase) is about 3 days.
  • The intensity of a geomagnetic storm is usually described by the indices Dst and Kp. As the storm intensity increases, the Dst index decreases.
  • Classification:

Moderate storms Dst from -50 to -100 nT

Strong storms Dst from -100 to -200 nT

extreme storms Dst below -200 nT

The MAGNETIC STORMS POWER SCALE is unified and was introduced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in November 1999. The description is given in the MAGNETIC STORMS STRENGTH SCALE above (TESIS Observatory). It is these data that we can observe on the graphs of Magnetic Storms online.

This forecast is based on real-time data on the solar wind and the interplanetary magnetic field,
measured by the ACE satellite, which is located at the forward solar-terrestrial libration point 1,500,000 km from the Earth

Hourly geomagnetic forecast

This prediction is based on real-time data on the solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field measured by the ACE satellite, which is located at the forward solar-terrestrial libration point 1,500,000 km from Earth. The hourly lead of the forecast is determined by the distance from the observation point to the Earth.



click on a graph to get a separate window,
automatically updating every 5 minutes

Where can you see the aurora now?

Aurora Borealis, Northern Hemisphere

NOAA (Current Space Weather Conditions). For a larger view, click on the image.

Aurora, Southern Hemisphere

The map shows a 30-minute forecast of the activity and position of the aurora in the Northern Hemisphere. The yellow dividing line (solar terminator) shows the border between day and night. The red line bounding the auroral region shows the limit of the possibility of visual observation of the aurora. The scale located at the bottom-left shows the probability (in%) of visual observation of the aurora.

Empirical predictive model of aurora intensity, developed in the Applied Physics Laboratory of Johns Hopkins University, by Patrick Newell and his collaborators (USA).

The forecast was made based on the analysis of the interplanetary magnetic field and satellite measurements of the solar wind intensity at the Lagrange point (L1), taking into account the estimated solar wind speed of about 800 km/s. The actual forecast time can vary from less than 30 minutes to an hour, depending on the actual speed of the solar wind. The speed and density of the solar wind depends on the intensity of the coronal radiation of the Sun: from quiet to highly active accompanied by flares.

The image is updated every 10 minutes. The time on the images is world time, (GMT+0). Map courtesy of NOAA (Current Space Weather Conditions). For a larger view, click on the image.

Polar Lights- a special kind of natural phenomena that manifests itself on planets (and their satellites) with an atmosphere and its own magnetic field in the form of a glow, as a result of the interaction of fast-moving plasma particles (plasma wind) with gas particles of the upper layers of the atmosphere in the regions of magnetic poles. The source of the plasma wind is the star of the planetary system. The auroras are also called the northern lights (Aurora Borealis) or the southern lights (Aurora Australis). The aurora on Earth can be observed visually as a glow in the upper atmosphere.

Charged particles, primarily electrons, moving in the Earth's magnetic field not only produce the visible effect of aurora, but also cause the strongest currents of millions of amperes, which, together with fluctuations in the Earth's magnetic field caused by changes in the intensity of the solar plasma flow, leads to significant perturbations of the magnetosphere in periods of increased solar activity. Thus, polar activity maps show projections of geographic areas in which magnetic storms occur. Part of the energy of charged particles is converted into thermal energy, which causes a significant movement of air masses, mainly in the upper layers of the atmosphere and leads to changes in the weather. All these factors together affect the state of living organisms and biological systems.

Aurora Webcams

Camera #1

polar miracle of nature

A phenomenal phenomenon that suddenly appears in the sky can last for several days, or it can also disappear unexpectedly, after just a couple of hours.


Illuminated, as if before sunset, the sky is covered with flashes of light green tones, which can form various spirals and arcs up to 160 km wide and about 1.5 thousand km long. The surrealism of what they saw was perceived by the ancient peoples as a manifestation of higher powers, a harbinger of their appearance on Earth. A modern person, spoiled by civilization, will see the familiar features of a holographic representation in the northern lights, but this natural splendor will not leave him indifferent.

Physics of the phenomenon

In order for the aurora to appear on the planet, it is necessary to have a magnetic field, an atmosphere and a source of charged particles, which, interacting with the atoms of the air, will ionize them. Therefore, similar phenomena can be observed both on Earth and on other planets, for example, Jupiter or Venus. Auroras may also exist in other star systems. Solar flares serve as a source of perturbed particles that reach the planet's magnetosphere. Once under its influence, they concentrate at the poles and cause radiance, the color of which depends on the chemical composition of the atmosphere.

Camera #2

The picture is updated automatically, the update occurs every 2 minutes

Aurora Colors

The aurora borealis is distinguished by a variety of colors and can shimmer in different colors. This is determined by what kind of molecule the charged particle collided with, and what is the density of the gas. So, oxygen can give both red and green, and nitrogen can give purple or blue. At heights of aurora dislocation above 150 km, red color prevails, below 120 km - violet-blue, and in the interval between them - yellow-green. The latter is the most common, indicating activity in the range from 120 to 150 km, although flashes can be detected at altitudes up to 1000 km.

Camera #3

The picture is updated automatically, the update occurs every 2 minutes

Observation conditions

Ionization processes occur not only near the poles, but even at the equator, but their concentration is low there, and therefore it is impossible to observe such a phenomenon. Although in history there are known cases of the occurrence of aurora borealis in the latitudes of Hindustan. This natural phenomenon stably manifests itself within the boundaries outlined by latitudes of 67–70 ° in both the northern and southern parts of the globe. With an increase in solar activity, the zone expands, approaching the equator by 20–25°. The most common auroras can be recorded from September to March, especially during the spring and autumn equinoxes, while clear skies, a new moon and frosty weather contribute to the observation.

The state of solar activity

Picture of the state of solar activity at the present time.

(red - extreme, yellow [-50 nT > Dst > -100 nT] - elevated, green [-20 nT > Dst > -50 nT] - medium, blue - low)
The black arrow indicates the position of solar activity for today.

Below is a summary of the state of the solar atmosphere, the Earth's magnetosphere, as well as a forecast of magnetic activity for three days for Moscow and St. Petersburg.


The surface of the Sun taken from October 14 to October 30, 2014. The video shows a group of sunspots AR 2192, the largest in the last two solar cycles (22 years).

X-ray emission from the Sun

The X-ray emission from the Sun shows a plot of the Sun's flare activity. X-rays show events on the Sun, here they are used to track solar activity and solar flares. Large solar X-ray flares can change the Earth's ionosphere, which blocks high-frequency (HF) radio transmissions to the sunlit side of the Earth.

Solar flares are also associated with Coronal mass ejections (CMEs), which can eventually lead to geomagnetic storms. SWPC sends space weather alerts at M5 (5x10-5 W/MW) level. Some large flares are accompanied by strong radio bursts that can interfere with other radio frequencies and cause problems for satellite communications and radio navigation (GPS).

Schumann resonances

Schumann resonance is the phenomenon of formation of standing electromagnetic waves of low and ultra-low frequencies between the Earth's surface and the ionosphere.

The Earth and its ionosphere is a giant spherical resonator, the cavity of which is filled with a weakly electrically conductive medium. If an electromagnetic wave that has arisen in this medium after rounding the globe again coincides with its own phase (enters into resonance), then it can exist for a long time.



Picture 1- Dependences of the quality factors of the Schumann resonance on local time.



Figure 2- Dependences of Schumann resonance amplitudes in hertz on local time.



Figure 3- Schumann resonances



Figure 4- Dependences of Schumann resonance frequencies in hertz on local time.


Schumann resonances

After reading Schumann's article on the resonant frequencies of the ionosphere in 1952, the German physician Herbert Konig drew attention to the coincidence of the main resonant frequency of the ionosphere of 7.83 Hz with the range of alpha waves (7.5-13 Hz) of the human brain. It seemed curious to him, and he contacted Schumann. From that moment began their joint research. It turned out that other resonant frequencies of the ionosphere coincide with the main rhythms of the human brain. The thought arose that this coincidence was not accidental. That the ionosphere is a kind of master generator for the biorhythms of all life on the planet, a kind of conductor of an orchestra called life.

And, accordingly, the intensity and any changes in Schumann resonances affect the higher nervous activity of a person and his intellectual abilities, which was proven back in the middle of the last century.

Proton index

Protons are the main energy source of the Universe generated by stars. They take part in thermonuclear reactions, in particular, pp-cycle reactions, which are the source of almost all the energy emitted by the Sun, come down to the combination of four protons into a helium-4 nucleus with the transformation of two protons into neutrons.

proton flux

Electron and proton flux taken from GOES-13 GOES Hp, GOES-13 and GOES-11. High-energy particles can reach Earth anywhere from 20 minutes to several hours after a solar event.

Cosmic radiation. Solar cosmic rays (bursts of radiation)

In 8-12 minutes after large and extreme solar flares, high-energy protons - > 10 MeV, or they are also called - solar cosmic rays (SCR) reach the Earth. The flux of high-energy protons entering the Earth's atmosphere is shown in the present graph. A solar radiation storm can cause disturbances or breakdowns in spacecraft equipment, disable electronic equipment on Earth, and lead to radiation exposure of astronauts, passengers and crews of jet aircraft.

Magnetic field components

GOES Hp is a minute graph containing the averaged parallel components of the Earth's magnetic field in nano Teslas (nT). Measurements: GOES-13 and GOES-15.

Ozone layer map

temperature map

World weather

Earthquake map

The map shows earthquakes on the planet in the last 24 hours

X-ray flow chart
(update frequency 5 minutes).



X-ray flux graph (update frequency 1 minute.)


Graph of estimates of the planetary Kp - index.

Electron flow graph (number of electrons in 1 second falling on a surface of 1 cm^2 in a solid angle of 1 steradian)


Monitoring of solar activity in real time.






Forecasts and the state of solar activity

Solar flares

There are five categories on the scale (in increasing power): A, B, C, M and X. In addition to the category, each flash is assigned a number. For the first four categories, this is a number from zero to ten, and for category X, it is from zero and above.

Geomagnetic disturbance index and magnetic storms

The Kp index determines the degree of geomagnetic disturbance. The higher the Kp index, the greater the perturbation. Kp 4 - strong perturbations.

Comparison of the main graphs by the sun


Solar activity forecast for 27 days


Ionospheric data

Picture 1- The last ionogram. The dependence of the amplitude of the probed signal on the frequency and operating height. Amplitude intensity gradations are presented to the right of the graph.


Figure 2- Critical frequencies without sporadic layers. Dependences of the critical frequencies of the ionosphere on local time.


Figure 3- Dependences of the critical frequencies of the ionosphere on local time.


Figure 4- Dependences of the effective heights of the ionosphere on local time.


Local time is expressed in hours of Tomsk Daylight Saving Time (TLDV). TLDV=UTC+7hours.

Magnetic field disturbance level — Magnetic field components

Dependences of Schumann resonance frequencies in hertz on local time.
Dependences of variations of the magnetic field components on local time.
Local time is expressed in hours of Tomsk Daylight Saving Time (TLDV). TLDV=UTC+7hours.

Magnetic storms and solar wind— Change of magnetic storms from the sun towards the Earth

solar activity online

Solar wind and magnetic storms

One of the largest magnetic storms in 2019 takes place on Earth. This was reported on Tuesday on the website of the Laboratory of X-ray Solar Astronomy of the Physical Institute. P. N. Lebedev RAS (FIAN).

“On Earth, one of the largest magnetic storms of this year is observed,” the report says. According to scientists, the magnetic field fluctuations began on Monday around 20:00 Moscow time, then the storm reached the level of Kp=5 (out of nine possible), which corresponds to a weak magnetic storm. It was supposed to end before Tuesday morning, but by 08:00 it intensified to a medium-level magnetic storm, reaching Kp=6.

“The event, as it is generally typical for space weather, is of a planetary nature and is now observed by several world magnetic observatories located at different geographical coordinates. At the moment, the storm is the second strongest this year and is second only to the magnetic storm of August 26, when the Kp index reached level 7. Thus, with an interval of only 2 weeks, the Earth experienced two of the strongest cosmic impacts of this year,” astronomers note.

It is noted that the Earth is currently passing through a dense stream of solar wind with a complex structure. According to scientists, it will take at least 2-3 days to exit the stream.

How to make yourself feel better during magnetic storms?

It should not be processed, stress, intense physical exertion should be avoided. On the day when a magnetic storm occurs, pay attention to nutrition - it should be balanced, without fatty, smoked and spicy foods. Include fruits and vegetables, as well as vitamins in your diet.
During magnetic storms, it is advisable to give up bad habits, strict diets, and alcohol. Spend more time outdoors with your family.

In addition, if there is an opportunity to relax during the hours of a magnetic storm, it is better to sleep. During sleep, fluctuations affect the body less than during work.

Structure of the Sun

According to modern ideas, the Sun consists of a number of concentric spheres, or regions, each of which has specific features. Schematic section sun shows its external features along with a hypothetical internal structure . Energy released by thermonuclear reactions in the nucleus sun, gradually paves the way to the visible surface of the star. It is transported by processes in which atoms absorb, re-emit, and scatter radiation, i.e. beam method. After passing about 80% of the way from the core to the surface, the gas becomes unstable, and then the energy is transferred by convection to the visible surface. sun and in its atmosphere.

internal structure sun layered, or shell, it consists of a number of spheres, or regions. In the center is the core, then the region of ray energy transfer, then the convective zone, and finally the atmosphere. A number of researchers refer three external regions to it: the photosphere, the chromosphere, and the corona. True, other astronomers refer only the chromosphere and corona to the solar atmosphere. Let us dwell briefly on the features of these spheres.

Core- central part sun with ultra-high pressure and temperature, ensuring the course of nuclear reactions. They emit a huge amount of electromagnetic energy in extremely short wavelengths.

Region of radiative energy transfer- located above the core. It is formed by almost immobile and invisible ultra-high temperature gas. Transfer through it of the energy generated in the core to the outer spheres sun carried out by the beam method, without moving the gas. This process should be imagined something like this. From the nucleus to the region of ray transfer, energy enters in the extremely short-wave ranges - gamma radiation, and leaves in the longer-wavelength X-ray, which is associated with a decrease in the gas temperature towards the peripheral zone.

convective region- located above the previous one. It is also formed by an invisible hot gas in a state of convective mixing. Mixing is due to the position of the region between two media, which differ sharply in the pressure and temperature prevailing in them. The transfer of heat from the solar interior to the surface occurs as a result of local uplifts of highly heated air masses under high pressure to the periphery of the star, where the gas temperature is lower and where the light range of radiation begins. sun. The thickness of the convective region is estimated at approximately 1/10 of the solar radius.

Photosphere is the lowest of the three layers of the atmosphere sun located directly on a dense mass of invisible gas in the convective region. The photosphere is formed by hot ionized gas, the temperature of which at the base is close to 10,000 K (i.e., the absolute temperature), and at the upper boundary, located about 300 km higher, is about 5,000 K. The average temperature of the photosphere is taken to be 5,700 K. At this temperature hot gas emits electromagnetic energy mainly in the optical wavelength range. It is this lower layer of the atmosphere, visible as a yellowish-bright disk, that we visually perceive as the Sun.

Through the transparent air of the photosphere, the telescope clearly sees its base - contact with the mass of opaque air of the convective region. The interface has a granular structure called granulation. Grains, or granules, have diameters from 700 to 2000 km. The position, configuration and size of the granules change. Observations have shown that each granule is expressed separately only for a short time (about 5-10 minutes), and then disappears, being replaced by a new granule. On the surface sun the granules do not remain motionless, but make irregular movements at a speed of about 2 km/sec. Together, light grains (granules) occupy up to 40% of the surface of the solar disk.

The process of granulation is represented as the presence in the lowest layer of the photosphere of an opaque gas of a convective region - a complex system of vertical gyres. A light cell is a portion of a more heated gas coming from the depth compared to the one already cooled on the surface, and therefore less bright, compensatory sinking down. The brightness of the granules is 10–20% higher than the surrounding background, indicating a difference in their temperatures of 200–300°C.

Figuratively granulation on the surface sun can be compared with the boiling of a thick liquid such as molten tar, when air bubbles appear with light ascending jets, and darker and flatter areas characterize the plunging portions of the liquid.

Research on the mechanism of energy transfer in a gas sphere sun from the central region to the surface and its radiation into outer space showed that it is carried by rays. Even in the convective zone, where energy is transferred by the movement of gases, most of the energy is transferred by radiation.

So the surface sun, radiating energy into outer space in the light range of the electromagnetic wave spectrum, is a rarefied layer of gases of the photosphere and the granular upper surface of a layer of opaque gas of the convective region visible through it. In general, the granular structure, or granulation, is recognized as characteristic of the photosphere, the lower layer of the solar atmosphere.

Chromosphere. During a total solar eclipse at the very edge of the darkened disk sun you can see a pink glow - this is the chromosphere. It does not have sharp boundaries, but is a combination of many bright protrusions or flames that are in continuous movement. The chromosphere is sometimes compared to a burning steppe. The tongues of the chromosphere are called spicules. They have a diameter of 200 to 2000 km (sometimes up to 10,000) and reach a height of several thousand kilometers. They must be imagined as escaping from sun plasma flows (hot ionized gas).

It has been established that the transition from the photosphere to the chromosphere is accompanied by an abrupt increase in temperature from 5700 K to 8000 - 10000 K. To the upper boundary of the chromosphere, located approximately at an altitude of 14000 km from the surface sun, the temperature rises to 15,000 - 20,000 K. The density of matter at such heights is only 10-12 g/cm3, i.e., hundreds and even thousands of times less than the density of the lower layers of the chromosphere.

solar corona- outside atmosphere sun. Some astronomers call it the atmosphere sun. It is formed by the most rarefied ionized gas. Extends approximately 5 diameters sun, has a radiant structure, dimly lit. It can only be observed during a total solar eclipse. The brightness of the corona is about the same as that of the full moon, which is only about 5/1000000 of the brightness sun. Coronal gases are highly ionized, which determines their temperature at about 1 million degrees. The outer layers of the corona radiate coronal gas, the solar wind, into outer space. This is the second energy (after the radiant electromagnetic) flow sun received by the planets. Coronal gas removal rate from sun increases from a few kilometers per second near the corona to 450 km/sec at the level of the Earth's orbit, which is associated with a decrease in the force of attraction sun as the distance increases. Gradually thinning out as you move away from sun, coronal gas fills the entire interplanetary space. It affects the bodies of the solar system both directly and through the magnetic field that it carries with it. It interacts with the magnetic fields of the planets. It is the coronal gas (solar wind) that is the main cause of auroras on Earth and the activity of other processes in the magnetosphere.

The reaction of the body to magnetic storms

The body's reactions to magnetic fluctuations can be headaches, insomnia, loss of strength, depression, pressure surges and disturbances in the functioning of the cardiovascular system of the body. Experts assure us that only 10% of the world's population is sensitive to magnetic storms. How true this is is not for us to judge. We would only like to warn you against unnecessary suspiciousness in the process of reading this article.

Magnetic fluctuations in February should be expected in the indicated numbers. But in general, January 2016 and February 2016 most likely will not upset us with frequent and strong magnetic storms. Particularly serious solar flares are not yet expected, and scientists warn us only of very minor geomagnetic fluctuations.

Causes of magnetic storms

Any geomagnetic disturbances that occur with our planet are directly dependent on the processes that are taking place on the Sun at this time. While flashes occur on our star in areas of dark spots, plasma particles enter space, which rush at great speed to the planets of the solar system. When these particles reach our planet's atmosphere, they cause the Earth's geomagnetic oscillations.

I would like to warn suspicious and impressionable people from inventing false symptoms and illnesses attributed to geomagnetic fluctuations. Of course, everyone has their own reaction to magnetic storms. In addition, the question of the influence of geomagnetic oscillations of the earth on human well-being has not yet been thoroughly studied by scientists. However, it should be noted that the state of our health at the current moment directly affects how we respond to solar activity.

If you are prone to some kind of disease, your immune system is weakened, you are in a stressful situation, overstrained and emotionally exhausted, in this case, your body may fail and react to magnetic storms with a serious deterioration.

If, on the contrary, you are cheerful, cheerful, healthy and cheerful, it is most likely that you will not even notice the past magnetic storms and spend this day no worse than any other.

For the most sensitive people, doctors have developed a system of recommendations. Partial or full implementation of these rules will help you survive magnetic storms without any health problems.

In the days preceding magnetic fluctuations and in the days of magnetic storms, refrain from drinking alcohol and heavy meals, including fatty, spicy, salty foods. For this period, it is better to observe moderation in food and try to focus on healthy food.

Drink more pure water. Do not neglect teas, compotes, herbal mixtures, chicory. Try to drink those drinks that do not have a strong effect on your cardiovascular system. Try to refrain from coffee, strong and invigorating teas.

Try to spend more time outdoors and less indoors. Any heavy physical activity is recommended to be postponed for another period. Walking in the fresh air, on the contrary, will do you good.

Keep track of your blood pressure

During magnetic storms, you can drink soothing herbal tinctures or add them to tea. Motherwort, valerian, sage, and some other herbs can help you get through magnetic fluctuations more easily.

Try to avoid quarrels and conflicts. In addition, it is recommended not to take on work that requires concentration or monotony of actions.